I think 10x is a reasonable long term goal, given continued improvements in models, agentic systems, tooling, and proper use of them.
It’s close already for some use cases, for example understanding a new code base with the help of cursor agent is kind of insane.
We’ve only had these tools for a few years, and I expect software development will be unrecognizable in ten more.
Essentially, yes. Great point! I think it needs more features to function more like a social network (transitive topic-based sharing, for one)
Hah, I designed one as well!
I think the flow of information has to be fundamentally different.
In mine, people only receive data directly from people they know and trust in real life. This makes scaling easy, and makes it impossible for centralized entities to broadcast propaganda to everyone at once.
I described it at freetheinter.net if you’re interested
relative to where we were before LLMs, I think we’re quite close
the extent that Trump has gone to remove barriers to committing atrocities likely corresponds to the extent he intends to commit them
Peer to peer.
I’ve spent a bit of time developing some related ideas, but haven’t had time to start building it.
It’s a bit rough still, but I’d love some feedback! https://freetheinter.net/
we have to use trust from real life. it’s the only thing that centralized entities can’t fake
I think we have to build systems that use real-life interpersonal trust networks so that centralized entities cannot just outspend and bot their way to prominence.
I think the key is building a social information system based on connections we have in real life. Key exchange parties, etc
It’s the only way to introduce a prohibitively high cost to centralized broadcast and reduce the power of these mega-entities
that would be awesome, assuming they’re all evil, but destroys the principle of faith
I’m pretty sure that the ruse, if there is one, must be impossible to prove
the principal hypothesis of the bitcoin experiment is that a central ledger and issuer is not actually necessary, and it’s still going strong
central banks are a hell of a lot better than the hodgepodge that arose in the 1800s, but it’s not proven that they will outlast an adequately designed decentralized implementation (whether it’s bitcoin or something else)
there are plenty of problems down the road for bitcoin, but there are arguably more for central banks. can a centralized currency survive the failure of its backing empire?
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you’re missing the point of being transgender.
the goal is not to claim that they were born a different gender. that would be delusional, and transgender people can be totally rational.
the point is simply to live as their preferred gender, and ideally be accepted as such.
when they live as their preferred gender, they are able to feel happy and content, just like everyone else. it’s not that difficult to consider how miserable we would feel if people misgendered us. it’s a common insult.
treating everyone as the gender they prefer is a simple act of kindness. you can choose to be an asshole about it, but you’re not standing up for the truth, you’re just choosing to be an asshole.
gender dysmorphia is the illness, and transitioning is the cure.
Subspace (now known as Continuum) circa 1998 via 56k modem - mine repping a 2k+ bounty 5-person turret in Chaos Zone West
Such adrenaline and joy 😂
With an optimum design, bipedal robots are likely more power efficient. Read up on the efficiency of the human gait to understand why.
In practice though, it’s really challenging to get an optimum design (the current state of the art is not even close), so polypeds are better from a practicality standpoint.
Totally agree - RoR is one of my all time favorites. Its strategic elegance and style just didn’t survive the translation to 3D
1800 hours in Noita. Just last week started what’s become a perfect god run (circle of vigor and transmuted all polymorphing liquids) to get the golden necklace and consider it beaten.
Really funny that this game isn’t even on anyone else’s list. I guess I really am special, haha
A great auto-battler released just this year named The Gnorp Apologue!
Your role is relatively passive, but a little time investment is required for progress.
yeah, I think the OP’s take is really naive
the tools and models will get a lot better, but more importantly the end products that succeed will make measured, judicious use of AI.
there always has been slop, and people will always misuse tools and create abominations, but the heights of greatness that are possible are increasing with AI, not decreasing